TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 12:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact set score of the professional tennis match between Soonwoo Kwon and Martin Landaluce at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. Bettors predict whether Kwon wins 3-0, 3-1, or 3-2, or whether Landaluce wins 3-2, 3-1, or 3-0.
The market resolves based on the final set score of the Soonwoo Kwon vs Martin Landaluce match at 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are resolved to fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders on Kalshi believe the consensus line undervalues or overvalues the exact score outcome. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where smart money is positioning ahead of the Kwon versus Landaluce match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact score outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of that specific final score, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As new information surfaces—such as player form, injury reports, or head-to-head history—traders adjust their bids and asks, causing prices to move. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading activity around that particular outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the Kwon versus Landaluce match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact set and game score at the end of play. No ambiguity remains once the match is officially completed and reported by major tennis authorities. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any potential postponements or cancellations that could affect settlement timing.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Jun 29, 2026. Injury announcements or fitness updates for either player would reshape expectations around match intensity and duration. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface preference data often trigger repricing as traders incorporate fresh performance signals. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and seeding changes can also influence the probability of specific scorelines. Media commentary and expert predictions may sway sentiment, while betting patterns from sharp money often precede larger moves. Close attention to pre-match press conferences and warm-up tournaments helps traders stay ahead of market shifts.