TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Sierra vs Sorana Cirstea: Set 2 Winner
kalshi

Solana Sierra vs Sorana Cirstea: Set 2 Winner

Volume:
$2,257

Sorana Cirstea

 - Kalshi

Sorana Cirstea - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 10:06 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sorana Cirstea

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,946
N/A
N/A
$1,136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Solana Sierra

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the second set in a Women's Singles Round of 32 match at the 2026 French Open between Solana Sierra and Sorana Cirstea. On Kalshi, Sorana Cirstea winning set 2 is priced at 72.0%, while Solana Sierra winning set 2 stands at 26.5%. The market resolves according to the official result from the 2026 French Open. Watch for the match to take place on or around May 29, 2026, when the actual set outcome will determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a vig or juice, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For this Set 2 matchup, comparing Kalshi pricing to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers in either player's chances.

On Kalshi, the Set 2 winner contract is priced as a binary outcome reflecting the probability that Sorana Cirstea wins the second set. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares, with the price directly representing the crowd's estimated chance of that outcome. As match conditions, player form, and court surface details emerge, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit your position at any point before May 29, 2026.

Key catalysts include the outcome of Set 1, which often influences momentum and confidence in Set 2 performance. Player injury reports, recent form on the tournament surface, head-to-head records, and court conditions (indoor vs. outdoor, speed of play) can all shift market pricing. Additionally, live match developments during Set 1 such as break points, service performance, and physical conditioning will inform traders' expectations for the second set outcome.