TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 10:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second set in a Women's Singles Round of 32 match at the 2026 French Open between Solana Sierra and Sorana Cirstea. On Kalshi, Sorana Cirstea winning set 2 is priced at 72.0%, while Solana Sierra winning set 2 stands at 26.5%. The market resolves according to the official result from the 2026 French Open. Watch for the match to take place on or around May 29, 2026, when the actual set outcome will determine the resolution.
On Kalshi, the Set 2 winner contract is priced as a binary outcome reflecting the probability that Sorana Cirstea wins the second set. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares, with the price directly representing the crowd's estimated chance of that outcome. As match conditions, player form, and court surface details emerge, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit your position at any point before May 29, 2026.
Key catalysts include the outcome of Set 1, which often influences momentum and confidence in Set 2 performance. Player injury reports, recent form on the tournament surface, head-to-head records, and court conditions (indoor vs. outdoor, speed of play) can all shift market pricing. Additionally, live match developments during Set 1 such as break points, service performance, and physical conditioning will inform traders' expectations for the second set outcome.