TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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São Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras
kalshi
polymarket

São Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras

Volume:
$218,349

SE Palmeiras

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,658
N/A
N/A
$32,699
Settled
Yes
polymarket

São Paulo FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,340
N/A
N/A
$16,861
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (São Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,147
N/A
N/A
$6,441
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the March 21, 2026 Brasileiro Serie A match between São Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras. Markets track the three mutually exclusive outcomes (São Paulo win, Palmeiras win, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with CBF as primary source and credible reporting as secondary source, consistent cancellation and postponement handling across all three outcome markets.Primary resolution logic: Official Confederação Brasileira de Futebol (CBF) statistics and match records; secondary source is consensus of credible sports reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: São Paulo FC wins, SE Palmeiras wins, or match ends in a draw.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and scored.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, win markets (São Paulo and Palmeiras) resolve to No, and draw market resolves to Yes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed.
  • Cancellation with no makeup: If the match is canceled with no makeup game, São Paulo win market resolves No, Palmeiras win market resolves No, and draw market resolves Yes.
  • Official stats delay: If CBF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
  • Extra time or penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 21, 2026, using official CBF statistics published within 2 hours of match end, or credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.