This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the March 21, 2026 Brasileiro Serie A match between São Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras. Markets track the three mutually exclusive outcomes (São Paulo win, Palmeiras win, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with CBF as primary source and credible reporting as secondary source, consistent cancellation and postponement handling across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Confederação Brasileira de Futebol (CBF) statistics and match records; secondary source is consensus of credible sports reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: São Paulo FC wins, SE Palmeiras wins, or match ends in a draw.
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and scored.
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, win markets (São Paulo and Palmeiras) resolve to No, and draw market resolves to Yes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed.
Cancellation with no makeup: If the match is canceled with no makeup game, São Paulo win market resolves No, Palmeiras win market resolves No, and draw market resolves Yes.
Official stats delay: If CBF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Extra time or penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 21, 2026, using official CBF statistics published within 2 hours of match end, or credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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