TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of São Paulo FC vs Club Bolívar?

Volume:
$462,470

São Paulo FC

 - Polymarket

São Paulo FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 1:08 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

São Paulo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$253,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,526
N/A
N/A
$13,315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,746
N/A
N/A
$4,030
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Bolívar

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar)

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,594
N/A
N/A
$20,328
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,618
N/A
N/A
$9,745
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,593
N/A
N/A
$5,847
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,491
N/A
N/A
$5,229
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether São Paulo FC will win their upcoming match against Club Bolívar in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament. The aggregated consensus probability for São Paulo FC to win stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from CONMEBOL or the event organizers. The final resolution will occur after the match concludes on August 18, 2026, with results confirmed by the official match end.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic tied to the official match result after regular time plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and post-game reporting.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from CONMEBOL or the event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Cancellations with no makeup resolve to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets
  • Revisions to scores after market resolution are ignored

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Win markets resolve to 'No', draw markets resolve to 'Yes', goal markets resolve based on reported score (typically 0-0)
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes, using official statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Tuesday, August 18, 2026 between São Paulo FC and Club Bolívar.

Kalshi

Each market assesses whether a specific number of goals are scored in the Bolivar vs Sao Paulo professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game scheduled for Aug 11, 2026, counting only goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals meet or exceed the threshold specified (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.