TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the exact final score of a Brazil Série A match between São Paulo FC and CA Paranaense scheduled for July 22, 2026. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi provides four over/under total goals markets. Both resolve based on the official 90-minute regulation result.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between São Paulo FC and CA Paranaense, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is based on the total goals scored in the Sao Paulo vs Paranaense Brasileiro match scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The event encompasses four distinct outcomes based on cumulative goal thresholds: over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, and over 4.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently based on whether the combined final score exceeds the specified threshold.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, reflect pure trader belief—participants buy and sell shares directly, so prices converge toward true probability as more capital flows in. Over time, prediction market odds tend to be more efficient and less subject to the house edge found in traditional betting, though both venues can diverge on the same event depending on their user base and liquidity.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter score expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and any late-breaking roster updates may trigger repricing. As the kickoff approaches, volume typically increases and odds tighten. Live betting during the match itself can also shift forward-looking sentiment if early goals or red cards reshape the likely final scoreline.