TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
polymarket
kalshi

São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

Volume:
$161,636

São Paulo FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

São Paulo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,616
N/A
N/A
$15,702
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chapecoense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,585
N/A
N/A
$21,418
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,218
N/A
N/A
$5,546
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Brazilian Serie A soccer match between São Paulo FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: CBF official match records (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) and Brasileiro Serie A competition database

Core resolution logic:

  • Match resolves based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: São Paulo FC win, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win, or draw
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
  • If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Chapecoense win and São Paulo win markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes (per Polymarket specification)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played on the rescheduled date
  • Cancellation without makeup: Win markets (both teams) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes per Polymarket terms; Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but default binary logic would apply
  • Scope limitation: Resolution covers only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any result determined by extra time or penalties is excluded
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official final whistle on March 12, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), once CBF publishes the official match resultOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.