TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and SC Recife, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than SC Recife in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Bernardo FC and SC Recife score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and SC Recife, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than SC Recife in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Bernardo FC and SC Recife score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue has faster information flow or deeper liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and retail traders are pricing the second-half outcome differently, offering insight into market consensus versus bookmaker positioning.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. Higher prices indicate stronger trader confidence in that outcome, while lower prices suggest skepticism. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions leading up to resolution.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the second half of the São Bernardo versus Recife match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during that half. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the event data is confirmed, ensuring all participants receive timely settlement.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements that alter perceived match dynamics. Live match developments—goals, red cards, or momentum shifts in the first half—often trigger sharp repricing as traders update their expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates can also influence trader sentiment. Media commentary, expert predictions, and social media discussion may sway retail participation. As kickoff approaches, liquidity typically increases, potentially amplifying price swings in response to breaking information.