TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one derive prices from continuous trader participation and real-time supply and demand. Prediction markets tend to be more responsive to breaking news and sentiment shifts, sometimes offering sharper or earlier signals than traditional sportsbooks. However, both venues aim to price the same underlying event, so significant gaps may present arbitrage opportunities for sharp bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability implied by the current balance of buy and sell orders. As traders place bets, the price adjusts in real time, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. This continuous pricing model allows participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with the final price serving as the market's consensus forecast.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the second half of the São Bernardo versus Ceará match concludes. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, verified against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond a specified deadline. Traders should monitor official team announcements and league communications for any schedule changes that could affect resolution timing.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp price moves, as does weather or pitch conditions that favor one side's style. Early first-half momentum and scoreline can influence second-half expectations significantly; a team trailing at halftime may face longer odds to win the second half. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one outcome can also accelerate price movement. Live updates on player performance and tactical adjustments during the match will continue to influence trader positioning right up to the second-half kickoff.