TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the São Bernardo FC vs. Ceará SC match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the São Bernardo FC vs. Ceará SC match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates real money from thousands of independent traders betting on the exact final score, which can reveal information gaps or consensus that sportsbooks may price differently. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have missed, though both should be evaluated independently.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market uses an automated market maker model where each exact score outcome has its own contract, and prices are determined by the ratio of trader buy and sell orders. As traders place bets on specific scorelines, the probability of each outcome shifts in real time. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, and you can trade in or out of any position up until the match concludes. Prices update continuously throughout the trading day, allowing you to enter or exit at any moment before the event resolves.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the São Bernardo versus Ceará match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. No adjustments are made for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other tiebreaker formats unless the match rules explicitly require them. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after the result is confirmed by official match records and major sports reporting outlets.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations for the final score. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and any last-minute roster updates may also shift odds as new information emerges. Major betting syndicates or sharp traders entering the market with large positions can move prices quickly, signaling conviction in particular outcomes. Monitor official team announcements and sports news closely in the days leading up to kickoff.