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399,592

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2,622

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5

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São Bernardo FC vs. Ceará SC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of São Bernardo FC vs. Ceará SC?

Volume:
$333,703

Ceara

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 5:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ceara

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$104,842
N/A
N/A
$49,777
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ceará SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sao Bernardo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106,070
N/A
N/A
$52,751
Settled
No
polymarket

São Bernardo FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101,791
N/A
N/A
$43,314
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (São Bernardo FC vs. Ceará SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Brazilian Série B soccer match between São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC scheduled for July 26, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: São Bernardo win, draw, and Ceará win. The markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up game, while Kalshi's three-market structure does not address cancellation scenarios. This creates ambiguity about how a full cancellation would settle on Kalshi.Hero tip: Traders should note that Polymarket's draw market offers explicit downside protection in a cancellation scenario (resolves Yes), whereas Kalshi's tie market has no stated cancellation clause. If you are long the draw/tie outcome, Polymarket provides clearer certainty. Confirm cancellation protocol with both platforms before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (São Bernardo win, draw, Ceará win). Draw market explicitly states: If canceled with no make-up game, resolves to Yes. Win markets resolve to No if canceled. Resolution source is CBF official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Sao Bernardo wins, Ceara wins, Tie). Each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implies all three resolve No if game does not occur, but this is not stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Sunday, July 26, 2026 between São Bernardo FC and Ceará SC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Sao Bernardo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each possible outcome—Sao Bernardo victory, Ceara victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live trader consensus without a built-in house edge. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge from major sportsbooks due to differences in liquidity, trader composition, and real-time information flow. Comparing both sources can reveal where sharp money is flowing and identify potential value opportunities before kickoff.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between venues typically stem from variations in user base size, trading activity patterns, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with different risk tolerances and information sets, causing temporary arbitrage gaps. Liquidity depth also varies by platform; lower volume on one venue can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient pricing. Savvy traders monitor both platforms to identify mispricings and execute cross-venue strategies before the market converges closer to resolution.

Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that affect competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as match day nears. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking tactical announcements may also influence odds. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can drive volume spikes and repricing. Monitor both platforms for sudden shifts in odds or volume, which often signal new information entering the market before it's widely known.