TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and Avaí FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than Avaí FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Bernardo FC and Avaí FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Avaí FC" if Avaí FC score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between São Bernardo FC and Avaí FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than Avaí FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Bernardo FC and Avaí FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Avaí FC" if Avaí FC score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liability and profit margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders betting real money on outcomes they believe will occur. Traders in this market may incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines, leading to price differences. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from bookmaker pricing, though both aim to reflect the true probability of the second half result.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling pressure directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—São Bernardo win, Avaí win, or draw—has its own contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes equals 100 percent. As traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced or sell those they see as overpriced, the market continuously reprices to reflect the latest consensus. This decentralized pricing model means the odds you see represent real money at stake from participants worldwide.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half, or whether both teams score equally. Resolution occurs after the official final whistle and confirmation from reliable sports reporting. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any official postponement announcements to ensure they understand the exact timing.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly as traders reassess each side's strength. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders will reprice the second half outcome based on momentum, fatigue, and tactical adjustments. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any controversial first-half decisions may also influence how traders expect the second half to unfold. Close to Jul 17, 2026, late-breaking injury reports or official team sheets typically trigger the most volatile price movements.