TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SNHL: Lugano vs. Zug
Volume:
$2,119
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single Swiss National League (SNHL) professional ice hockey game between HC Lugano and EV Zug scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering markets on the outcome of this match, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Zug win and Lugano win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as stated cannot resolve to No under any circumstance. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Declares both EV Zug victory and HC Lugano victory resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve to No. Quote: 'If EV Zug wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If HC Lugano wins... resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Clear binary outcome mapping: Lugano win resolves to Lugano, Zug win resolves to Zug. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If Lugano win, the market will resolve to Lugano. If Zug win, the market will resolve to Zug.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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