TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SNHL: Lausanne vs. Ajoie
Volume:
$858
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Swiss National League (SNHL) ice hockey match between HC Lausanne and HC Ajoie scheduled for March 9, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the winner of this professional hockey game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolution logic is internally contradictory: both a win by Ajoie and a win by Lausanne are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable and unable to distinguish between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution structure is broken and cannot settle correctly. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is the only viable option. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a documentation error or a platform defect before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary outcome: Lausanne win resolves to Lausanne, Ajoie win resolves to Ajoie. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: states both Ajoie victory and Lausanne victory resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution scenario where the market cannot differentiate between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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