TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyk Vasyl and Ovsiienko Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 27 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyk Vasyl' if Smyk Vasyl wins against Ovsiienko Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Ovsiienko Oleksandr' if Ovsiienko Oleksandr wins against Smyk Vasyl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyk Vasyl and Ovsiienko Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 27 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyk Vasyl' if Smyk Vasyl wins against Ovsiienko Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Ovsiienko Oleksandr' if Ovsiienko Oleksandr wins against Smyk Vasyl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current implied probability of a particular fighter winning is determined by the share price relative to 100; a share priced at 60 represents a 60% probability.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Smyk vs. Ovsiienko match as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the official outcome to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s conditions, such as a late venue change or rule adjustments, could also have an impact. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the fighters’ chances of winning could drive trading activity and alter the market’s price, reflecting evolving expectations for the Smyk vs. Ovsiienko match.