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5

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SMU vs Louisville: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of SMU vs Louisville?

Volume:
$253,393

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 5:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,775
N/A
N/A
$32,828
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 2.5 points

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101,367
N/A
N/A
$50,999
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,997
N/A
N/A
$8,757
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 3.5 points

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,876
N/A
N/A
$9,537
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,185
N/A
N/A
$6,130
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,423
N/A
N/A
$7,421
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,658
N/A
N/A
$6,555
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,350
N/A
N/A
$5,026
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,939
N/A
N/A
$2,501
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,554
N/A
N/A
$5,554
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,507
N/A
N/A
$4,488
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,939
N/A
N/A
$2,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,568
N/A
N/A
$2,714
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,083
N/A
N/A
$2,456
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins 1H by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,882
N/A
N/A
$2,718
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,642
N/A
N/A
$2,642
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$887
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$630
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
$422
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event tracks various point spreads for the first half of a college football game between SMU and Louisville. Each outcome represents different margins of victory for either team within the first half, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of specific scoring differences.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the point differential in the first half of the SMU vs Louisville college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes resolving to Yes if the winning team exceeds the designated margin by more than the stated points. Only points scored during the first half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the SMU vs Louisville spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $239,813, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $253,393. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding the first-half spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by buying on one venue and selling on the other. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are dynamic and can shift rapidly based on new information and changing sentiment.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the SMU vs Louisville game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process helps to converge the market price towards a fair assessment of the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the SMU vs Louisville game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from a widely recognized sports data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the SMU or Louisville teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions. Even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence sentiment and move the price on Kalshi.