TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 1:29 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks receiving yardage performance in a college football game between SMU and Florida State. Specific thresholds determine outcomes for each team, reflecting how well they perform in passing plays during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by either SMU or Florida State during the game, including any overtime periods. Successful two-point conversions do not contribute to these totals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of each other, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome for the specified team and yardage requirement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different receiving yardage totals. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially when there is significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, specific receiving yardage ranges for the SMU vs Florida State game. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders regarding its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by factors such as news reports, injury updates, and expert analysis, all of which contribute to the dynamic pricing mechanism of this market.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for both teams in the SMU vs Florida State game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage statistics, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will then settle based on the pre-defined contract terms associated with the winning yardage range. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key wide receivers or tight ends for either SMU or Florida State – such as injuries, changes in playing time, or reports of favorable matchups – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could influence trader sentiment and lead to shifts in the prices of contracts within this market.