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394,660

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2,626

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SMU vs Florida St.: 2nd Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of SMU vs Florida St.?

Volume:
$382,020

Florida St. wins 2H by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 12:40 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$68,251
N/A
N/A
$36,389
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,733
N/A
N/A
$4,542
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,601
N/A
N/A
$66,430
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 2.5 points

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,012
N/A
N/A
$40,749
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,671
N/A
N/A
$38,904
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,786
N/A
N/A
$14,012
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,565
N/A
N/A
$13,769
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,734
N/A
N/A
$9,805
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,130
N/A
N/A
$6,608
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,208
N/A
N/A
$3,440
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,159
N/A
N/A
$1,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,401
N/A
N/A
$987
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$959
N/A
N/A
$868
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
$815
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$775
N/A
N/A
$712
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$656
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$592
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 2H by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 2H by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either SMU or Florida State in the second half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half to resolve as 'Yes'.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (excluding overtime) of the SMU vs Florida State college football game scheduled for September 7, 2026. For SMU markets, resolution occurs if SMU wins the second half by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 17.5 points). For Florida State markets, resolution occurs if Florida State wins the second half by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 17.5 points). Only points scored during the second half, excluding overtime, count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of each other, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the SMU vs Florida State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the total 24-hour volume traded. Currently, the volume is $369,369, and the total volume for this market is $382,020. This allows users to see how confidence in each spread is changing and gauge market activity.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with—and sometimes even anticipating—changes in sportsbook odds. However, there can be differences. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If sportsbook odds suggest a strong favorite, this market may show a more nuanced view depending on trader sentiment. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may respond to different information.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing expectations. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; no external factors directly set the price.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the SMU vs Florida State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not. The final score will determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the SMU or Florida State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift the spread. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role.