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SMU vs Florida St.: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of SMU vs Florida St.?

Volume:
$1,110,188

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 10:43 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$474,667
N/A
N/A
$275,190
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$162,979
N/A
N/A
$86,521
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$131,098
N/A
N/A
$59,003
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,032
N/A
N/A
$30,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 2.5 points

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93,607
N/A
N/A
$59,154
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,103
N/A
N/A
$36,435
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,223
N/A
N/A
$17,623
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,756
N/A
N/A
$15,626
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,152
N/A
N/A
$14,645
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,596
N/A
N/A
$12,449
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,708
N/A
N/A
$7,070
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,954
N/A
N/A
$5,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,762
N/A
N/A
$4,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,500
N/A
N/A
$3,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,563
N/A
N/A
$2,352
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,302
N/A
N/A
$2,171
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,784
N/A
N/A
$1,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,479
N/A
N/A
$1,449
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,122
N/A
N/A
$1,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 1H by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
No
kalshi

SMU wins 1H by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$678
N/A
N/A
$678
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Intro

This market tracks whether SMU will win the first half of their college football game against Florida State by more than 4.5 points. Currently, the probability of SMU winning the first half by over 4.5 points is 50.0%, while the probability of SMU winning by over 2.5 points is 49.0%. Trading is live on Kalshi, and the market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half of the SMU vs Florida State game as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score at the end of the first half on September 7, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of play in the SMU vs Florida St. college football game scheduled for Sep 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either SMU or Florida St. to resolve as 'Yes.' If SMU wins the first half by more than the stated margin, the corresponding SMU markets resolve positively; if Florida St. wins by more than its stated margin, those markets resolve positively. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve negatively. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the SMU vs Florida State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You'll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $1,075,159. The total volume traded on this market is $1,110,188. This allows you to see how much activity there is and how confident traders are in different outcomes for the first half spread.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, with prediction markets potentially incorporating information faster than sportsbooks, or reflecting different perspectives on team strengths and weaknesses. However, as game day approaches, the odds on both sides tend to converge as more information becomes available.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations you see on the dashboard. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the first half of the SMU vs Florida State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all traders. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final result will impact your positions.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries on either SMU or Florida State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities.