TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Slovenia vs. Hungary
polymarket
kalshi

Slovenia vs. Hungary

Volume:
$62,520

Slovenia

 - Kalshi

Slovenia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 4:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Slovenia

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,481
N/A
N/A
$24,045
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Slovenia vs. Hungary

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hungary

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,909
N/A
N/A
$13,416
Settled
No
polymarket

Hungary (-11.5)

View
0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the upcoming FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Slovenia and Hungary, scheduled for August 30, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the final game result, including any overtime periods, with specific rules for different scoring scenarios and game cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence: Polymarket uses a team-outcome binary while Kalshi uses a game-occurrence binaryHero tip: Do not treat Kalshi's Yes as equivalent to either team's win on Polymarket. Kalshi resolves Yes if either team wins, making it a fundamentally different market contract

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary market resolving to 'Slovenia' for Slovenia win, 'Hungary' for Hungary win, 50-50 for full cancellation with no makeup game. Spread market resolves Hungary only if they win by 12+ points.
  • Kalshi: Yes/No market that resolves Yes if either team wins the game (regardless of which team), creating a fundamental logic mismatch with Polymarket's team-specific outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Slovenia win, the market will resolve to "Slovenia". If the Hungary win, the market will resolve to "Hungary". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the indicated team wins the scheduled men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or does not begin within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is unrelated to the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.