TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Slovan Bratislava and Mjallby in an upcoming Champions League soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for each team during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The outcome depends on whether either team secures a win by a specified goal difference.
The event evaluates whether Slovan Bratislava or Mjallby achieves a victory by a particular goal margin in their Champions League match scheduled for August 11, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Slovan Bratislava winning by more than 2.5 goals, Slovan Bratislava winning by more than 1.5 goals, Mjallby winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Mjallby winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are satisfied for the respective team, the corresponding market resolves positively. The rules explicitly note that the platform is not officially connected with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and betting action, this market allows traders to vote with their money, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent performance, injuries, or other game-day factors.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through their bids and offers, which determine the current implied probability for each possible spread outcome. The market price reflects recent team performance, injuries, and other relevant factors influencing the expected goal differential. With total volume at $49,343, the pricing mechanism captures real-time consensus among participants, adjusting dynamically as new information emerges and the event date nears.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread recorded at the end of regulation time will determine the result, closing all open positions based on the official match statistics.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, changes in team strategies revealed in pre-match press conferences, and recent form in smaller competitions. Any last-minute lineup decisions or weather conditions affecting play could also cause rapid price swings as traders adjust their expectations ahead of the final whistle.