TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals each team scores in a specific soccer match during regular time. It focuses solely on the performance of SL Benfica and St. Gallen in terms of goal production, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. The markets consider different thresholds of goals scored by each team to determine the results.
These markets assess whether SL Benfica or St. Gallen will score above specified goal thresholds in the Europa League match scheduled for July 30, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Each market corresponds to a different goal line for each team: SL Benfica over 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals, and St. Gallen over 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the named team exceeds the stated goal threshold within regulation time. Own goals are counted toward the team to which they are awarded. The outcomes are determined exclusively by the number of goals scored during the standard match duration, with no consideration given to any post-regulation proceedings.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability for this market shows a strong bias toward one team, reflecting trader sentiment. Sportsbook odds typically balance broader public betting patterns and may differ due to varying risk models and market maker adjustments. Prediction markets like this one often capture sharper insights by aggregating informed trader views, whereas sportsbooks incorporate a wider but less specialized audience. The difference in pricing can highlight where expert traders diverge from general betting trends.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 90 minutes of regulation time will determine whether the total goals meet the market’s criteria, and the result is finalized based on official match records.
Key signals include team announcements such as starting lineups, injury updates, or weather forecasts affecting match conditions. Strong recent form or tactical adjustments by either side could shift trader sentiment dramatically. As Jul 31, 2026 approaches, any last-minute changes — like player suspensions or strategic formations — may cause rapid price swings. Media coverage and expert analysis in the days leading up to the event will also influence market movements.