TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 3:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming Europa League soccer match between SL Benfica and St. Gallen. It specifically evaluates whether either team will win the first half by a margin of two or more goals. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the initial 45 minutes of play.
The event determines whether either SL Benfica or St. Gallen will secure a first-half victory by more than a 1.5 goal differential in their Europa League match scheduled for July 30, 2026. If SL Benfica wins the first half by two or more goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if St. Gallen achieves the same margin of victory in the first half, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Only goals scored during the first half are considered for resolution. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the defined procedures. No goals scored in the second half or after affect the outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match statistics for the first half — specifically whether SL Benfica wins that period by more than the set spread. Once the match concludes and results are reported, the market will close and pay out according to the pre-determined contract terms.
Key signals that could shift this market include major team announcements such as starting lineups, injury updates, or weather conditions affecting play. Trading volume may surge around news of a star player being ruled out or a tactical change announced by the coaching staff. Additionally, early betting trends on other sportsbooks or fan polls can influence trader sentiment on Kalshi, especially as kickoff approaches and the match draws closer.