TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the Braga vs Guimaraes spread event, this one evaluates the goal difference in the SL Benfica vs Estoril match. It checks whether SL Benfica or Estoril wins by a certain margin. The match is the professional Liga Portugal game scheduled for August 31, with only regular time goals counting.
This event assesses the goal differentials for SL Benfica and Estoril in their professional Liga Portugal match on August 31, 2026. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals. Conversely, separate markets resolve to 'Yes' if Estoril wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. All determinations are based exclusively on the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties), with each market having distinct criteria for resolution.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced probabilities rather than set bookmaker margins. In this market, traders actively buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the spread result, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing compared to standard sportsbook spreads. The dynamic nature of prediction markets allows for rapid adjustments based on in-game developments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking of contracts representing possible spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about the likely margin of victory. Volume of $51,247 and recent 24-hour volume of $43,123 show how actively the market is trading, with price shifts driven by new information or shifts in trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The spread is calculated based on the official final score, and the market settles accordingly to reflect the actual point differential between the two teams when the game concludes.
Key moments such as player injuries, weather conditions, or tactical changes by coaches can shift expectations for the spread and move this market. Live game events — goals, red cards, or momentum swings — often cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities. Additionally, broader factors like recent team performance trends or headline news about star players may influence trader behavior before the final whistle.