TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
kalshi
polymarket

SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

Volume:
$210,369

Draw (SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,876
N/A
N/A
$2,551
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FSV Mainz 05

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mainz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,951
N/A
N/A
$28,415
Settled
No
polymarket

SK Sigma Olomouc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Olomouc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,208
N/A
N/A
$14,956
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a UEFA Europa Conference League match between SK Sigma Olomouc (Czech Republic) and 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Germany) scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets are offered on both platforms to predict the winner or draw outcome based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a non-standard cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled entirely with no makeup), while Kalshi's three mutually exclusive outcome markets do not explicitly address full cancellation, creating potential inconsistency in edge case scenarios.Hero tip: For normal match completion, all platforms align on 90-minute regulation plus stoppage time resolution. The divergence only manifests if the match is canceled with no rescheduled makeup game. Traders should assume normal match completion is most likely; if cancellation risk emerges, Polymarket's draw market becomes a de facto cancellation hedge while Kalshi's resolution becomes ambiguous.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets (Olomouc win, Mainz win, draw). Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no makeup. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' Postponements keep market open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Mainz win, Tie, Olomouc win), each resolving YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly assumes one of the three outcomes will occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.