TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SK Rapid Wien and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Rapid Wien and FC Santa Coloma score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than SK Rapid Wien in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SK Rapid Wien and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Rapid Wien and FC Santa Coloma score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than SK Rapid Wien in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this match, comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money disagrees. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at pricing binary events, though sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or betting patterns.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome (such as a Rapid Wien second-half win, Santa Coloma win, or draw) trade against a liquidity pool, and the price of each share reflects its current odds. As more traders buy or sell a particular outcome, the price adjusts dynamically. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free discovery of the crowd's true belief about the second-half result.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official final score or result recorded by the relevant football authority. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges—team news, first-half momentum, or tactical adjustments. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed, ensuring all positions settle fairly and transparently.
Several factors could shift trader positioning before Jul 29, 2026. First-half goals or red cards will reshape expectations for the second half's tempo and defensive intensity. Injury announcements or lineup surprises can alter team strength and motivation. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and tactical adjustments at halftime all influence second-half play. Additionally, if one team falls behind early, desperation or caution may change how aggressively they attack. Real-time match commentary and live score updates will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders react to unfolding events and recalibrate their probability estimates.