TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SK Rapid Wien and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SK Rapid Wien and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. On Polymarket, traders are directly exposed to financial gain or loss, which can sharpen price discovery around first-goal outcomes. Sportsbooks, by contrast, build in margins and manage liability across many bettors. This market's odds may move faster in response to team news, injuries, or lineup changes than static sportsbook lines, making them useful as a real-time gauge of informed trader expectations rather than a direct replacement for conventional betting odds.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on identifying which team, if any, scores the opening goal of the contest. Once the event is confirmed through reliable sources, the market settles accordingly, with winning shares paid out at full value and losing shares expiring worthless. Traders should monitor official match updates and team announcements leading up to kickoff to stay informed on any last-minute changes that could affect the result.
Several catalysts could shift odds before Jul 29, 2026. Injury announcements or lineup changes for either squad may alter attacking depth and first-goal probability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and venue conditions (home-field advantage, pitch quality) often influence early-game dynamics. Weather forecasts, referee assignments, and any last-minute tactical adjustments can also sway trader positioning. Additionally, betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one outcome may trigger rapid repricing. Monitoring team news, social media sentiment, and competing prediction markets can help traders anticipate these moves and adjust their positions accordingly.