TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
O/U 3.5
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 16, 2026
Closed: Sep 16, 7:01 PM EST
Polymarket
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Sturm Graz and Rennes have 3 or more total goals?
Intro
This market tracks the likelihood of Stade Rennais FC 1901 scoring over 0.5 goals in the first half of their UEFA Europa League match against SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, alongside other related propositions for the game. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi is 40.0% for this outcome, with Both Teams to Score in First Half at 30.0%. Resolution will be based on data from https://www.uefa.com/. Given the discrepancies in reported match dates between platforms – September 16, 2024 versus September 16, 2026 – closely monitor the official UEFA schedule for confirmation as the September 16, 2026 date approaches.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: A date discrepancy exists between Limitless (2026) and Kalshi/Polymarket (2024). Additionally, Polymarket provides more detailed fallback resolution procedures.Hero tip: Focus on markets with consistent dates across platforms. Prioritize Polymarket due to its detailed resolution guidelines.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolution is based on the official final score from uefa.com, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting). Postponement extends market life; cancellation resolves 50-50. "This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time."
- Limitless: Resolution is based on the combined goals scored during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on September 16, 2026. Postponement extends market life; cancellation resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Resolution is based on goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 16, 2024. Does not include extra time or penalties. "If over X goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes."
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for September 16 at 3:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Sturm Graz versus Stade Rennais Europa League match scheduled for September 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals—and resolves to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals meet or exceed that threshold within the regulation time of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty phases are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and resolution for any individual market depends solely on whether the actual goal count surpasses its specified benchmark. The governing body’s official match result serves as the definitive source for determining outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the league or its intellectual property.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Sturm Graz and Rennes is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the UEFA Europa League match scheduled for September 16, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Limitless, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow participants to directly influence pricing through their trades. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. The efficiency of this market, and its ability to incorporate new information, can sometimes make it a more accurate indicator than traditional odds, though this isn't always the case.
