TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and Heart of Midlothian FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and Heart of Midlothian FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. For this matchup, comparing this market's implied probabilities to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where the two communities disagree on likely scorelines. Prediction markets tend to update faster in response to breaking news, injuries, or team changes, making them a useful cross-check against conventional betting odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader activity and order flow. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact scoreline carries its own contract, and the price of each reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders. As more traders buy or sell a particular outcome, its price moves up or down in real time. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and sentiment about the most likely final score.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the actual goals scored by each team during regulation time, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding positions on the correct exact score will receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout distribution.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and tactical changes that might affect scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Major injuries or surprise absences announced shortly before kickoff often trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, early match events—such as an unexpected goal or red card in the opening minutes—can dramatically alter the probability of various exact scores as traders update their forecasts based on live developments.