TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 3:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams compete in a strategic shooting game on a specific map. The outcome depends on which team secures victory in the second map of their scheduled match.
If SK Nebula wins map 2 in the VCT Game Changers EMEA 2026: SK Nebula vs. Twisted Minds Orchid Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Twisted Minds Orchid wins map 2 in the VCT Game Changers EMEA 2026: SK Nebula vs. Twisted Minds Orchid Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook shaped by active traders rather than set lines. While sportsbooks may publish fixed odds based on analyst views, this market’s price evolves with participation, potentially offering sharper or differently weighted assessments. Traders should watch both, but this market’s pricing is driven entirely by buyer-seller activity on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic market curve that adjusts with each trade. The current top outcome chance displayed reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid shifts based on new information or betting patterns, without external influence from fixed lines or other venues.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect which team secures the victory on the second map, as reported by authoritative sports news and official match records. No internal platform mechanisms determine the settlement — it relies on independent, publicly available results.
Key signals that could shift this market include practice session performances, player injuries or lineup changes, and pre-match analyst forecasts. Any unexpected developments — such as strategic adjustments or momentum swings observed in early map play — may also cause rapid price motion. Traders will watch these cues closely as they can dramatically alter perceptions of likely outcomes before Aug 14, 2026.