TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 2:06 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams face off in a tactical video game on the first map of their scheduled match. The result hinges on which team claims the win in that initial map.
If SK Nebula wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers EMEA 2026: SK Nebula vs. Twisted Minds Orchid Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Twisted Minds Orchid wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers EMEA 2026: SK Nebula vs. Twisted Minds Orchid Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, with the chance percentage indicating the market’s collective view of which team is favored to win Map 1.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on the official match result from the competitive gaming event organizers, ensuring an impartial and transparent close. Traders can track announcements from tournament officials or trusted esports news outlets for real-time updates leading up to the resolution date.
Key team announcements, player injuries, or changes in tournament format could shift expectations and move this market. Performance in prior maps or practice matches may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute strategy reveals or coaching changes for SK Nebula or Twisted Minds Orchid can create volatility. Monitoring pre-match analysis from esports analysts and community discussions will help anticipate potential swings in probability before Aug 14, 2026.