TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SK Iberia 1999 and FC Flora, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Iberia 1999" if SK Iberia 1999 score more goals than FC Flora in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Iberia 1999 and FC Flora score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Flora" if FC Flora score more goals than SK Iberia 1999 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SK Iberia 1999 and FC Flora, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Iberia 1999" if SK Iberia 1999 score more goals than FC Flora in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Iberia 1999 and FC Flora score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Flora" if FC Flora score more goals than SK Iberia 1999 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets derive odds from trader consensus and real-money commitments. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent traders, which can sometimes identify value that traditional sportsbooks miss. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional and retail traders disagree on the second half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where buy and sell orders determine the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome in this market has its own price, expressed as a probability between 0 and 1, reflecting what traders collectively believe will happen in the second half. As traders place bets, the price adjusts to reflect new information, sentiment shifts, or changing match conditions. The market price represents the marginal trader's conviction at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the second half of the SK Iberia vs. Flora match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score reported by the relevant sports authority or widely recognized sports data provider. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any official announcements to stay informed of timing. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Team news—such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff—often triggers significant price movement. First-half performance is a major catalyst; a strong or weak opening 45 minutes typically reshapes expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and betting-market activity can also influence trader sentiment. As the match progresses and halftime approaches, real-time momentum and momentum swings will likely drive continued repricing of this market.