TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SK Dinamo Tbilisi and US Mondorf-les-Bains, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi score more goals than US Mondorf-les-Bains in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi and US Mondorf-les-Bains score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Mondorf-les-Bains" if US Mondorf-les-Bains score more goals than SK Dinamo Tbilisi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SK Dinamo Tbilisi and US Mondorf-les-Bains, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi score more goals than US Mondorf-les-Bains in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi and US Mondorf-les-Bains score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Mondorf-les-Bains" if US Mondorf-les-Bains score more goals than SK Dinamo Tbilisi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For second-half outcomes like this one, prediction markets may react faster to live-game developments since traders can adjust positions in real time. Comparing the two can reveal whether the broader betting public or specialized predictors see different probabilities for the final result.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative belief of all active traders, with shares trading between 0 and 100 cents to represent implied probability. As new information surfaces—team news, in-game momentum, or injury updates—traders adjust their positions, moving the price. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices respond to shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score or result recorded in the official match record. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle their positions promptly. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on live-game developments and trader expectations.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can shift odds significantly before kickoff. Early first-half performance often influences second-half expectations, as scoreline pressure and fatigue become factors. Red cards, momentum swings, or unexpected substitutions during the match will trigger repricing as traders reassess the likely outcome. Weather, crowd dynamics, and historical head-to-head patterns may also influence trader positioning. Close to resolution, any late-game developments will drive final price adjustments.