TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 12:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between SK Brann and Vålerenga Fotball, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Brann" if SK Brann score more goals than Vålerenga Fotball in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Brann and Vålerenga Fotball score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vålerenga Fotball" if Vålerenga Fotball score more goals than SK Brann in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between SK Brann and Vålerenga Fotball, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Brann" if SK Brann score more goals than Vålerenga Fotball in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SK Brann and Vålerenga Fotball score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vålerenga Fotball" if Vålerenga Fotball score more goals than SK Brann in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trading among participants who profit by forecasting accurately. This market aggregates the collective judgment of traders rather than a bookmaker's risk management. Prediction market prices tend to adjust faster to breaking news and shift more fluidly as new information arrives. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated competitive accuracy compared to traditional sportsbooks, though both can offer valuable signals for understanding event probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of shares held in the liquidity pool, meaning larger trades move the price more dramatically than smaller ones. Traders profit by buying underpriced outcomes and selling overpriced ones, which naturally drives prices toward their true probability. The continuous trading mechanism ensures prices update in real time as new information surfaces, making the market responsive to developments before the match kicks off.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half only, independent of the first-half result. Resolution occurs after the match is complete and the official result has been confirmed by the relevant football authorities. Traders holding positions in this market will see their holdings settled based on which outcome occurred, with winners receiving payouts proportional to their correct predictions.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or tactical changes often trigger significant price movement. Weather conditions at the venue, recent form and head-to-head records, and betting patterns from sharp traders can all influence sentiment. Public statements from managers or unexpected roster developments may also sway the market. Additionally, broader sports news or late-breaking information about player availability could cause rapid repricing. Traders monitor these signals closely to identify mispricings and adjust their positions accordingly before kickoff.