TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional soccer match between SK Brann and Bologna FC 1909 scheduled for February 19, 2026, likely in the UEFA Europa League. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Bologna win, Brann win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
The draw market on Polymarket treats game cancellation (with no make-up) as a YES resolution, while Kalshi's draw market only resolves YES for an actual tied result during play. This creates a settlement divergence in the cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Track UEFA.com and official team sources for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, expect Polymarket draw YES and Kalshi draw NO/unresolved. For normal play outcomes (win/loss/draw), both platforms align on the 90+stoppage time window.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Bologna win YES/NO, Brann win YES/NO, and Draw YES/NO. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Crucially, the draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi:
Three outcome markets presented as conditional statements: Tie wins (draw), Brann wins, or Bologna wins, all after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; implicitly resolves YES only if that outcome occurs during play.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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