TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sittard and Ajax, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the loser at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds for goal differences determine the resolution of various outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Sittard vs Ajax professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct criteria define resolution: Sittard winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sittard winning by more than 1.5 goals, Ajax winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Ajax winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the occurrence of one outcome does not affect the validity or resolution of the others. The governing body for the match is the Eredivisie, though Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation or endorsement from the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders on the Kalshi exchange.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Sittard vs Ajax match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Sittard or Ajax could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day can also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.