TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 8:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Wiedenmann and Timeo Gaillard in the Sion, Switzerland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Timeo Gaillard. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Gaillard' if Timeo Gaillard advances against Luca Wiedenmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Wiedenmann and Timeo Gaillard in the Sion, Switzerland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Timeo Gaillard. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Gaillard' if Timeo Gaillard advances against Luca Wiedenmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs and bets of participants in real time. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value or divergence in expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome — who wins and by what method — as reported through trusted sports news outlets and event organizers. Traders can expect a swift settlement once the fight concludes and the results are widely confirmed.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key events include pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, or changes in betting momentum. Any public commentary from coaches, analysts, or the fighters themselves may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader trends like betting volume spikes or shifts in public polls can create price pressure, reflecting evolving expectations about who is likely to win.