TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna
polymarket

Who will win Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna?

Volume:
$137,270

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5

 - Polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 5:25 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 8.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 10.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by official event records and widely accepted news sources that confirm who wins the contest, closing the market definitively at that point.

Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, training performance reports, and changes in betting volume on Polymarket. Media coverage highlighting either competitor’s advantages or setbacks may also sway trader sentiment. As the fight nears, any last-minute announcements or notable public statements are likely to produce noticeable price movements.