TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Sint Maarten and Belize. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the match and expectations for scoring intensity.
The event determines whether more than a specified number of goals are scored during the Sint Maarten vs Belize professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Resolution is based solely on goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), where exceeding that threshold results in a 'Yes' outcome. All markets operate independently, and the event is unaffiliated with CONCACAF; trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by supply and demand among traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, they will buy contracts, driving up the price and shifting the implied probability. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbooks, particularly when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information influencing trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Sint Maarten vs Belize match. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Sint Maarten vs Belize match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Sint Maarten or Belize could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from soccer experts and any public statements from players or coaches could influence trader sentiment and drive price movements in this market.