TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sint Maarten and Belize, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are placed on whether a team will win by a specific number of goals or more.
The event resolves based on the final score of the Sint Maarten vs Belize professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome scenarios are evaluated: Sint Maarten winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sint Maarten winning by more than 1.5 goals, Belize winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Belize winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s price is determined by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or unexpected developments than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts continuously with each trade.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose money if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the likelihood of each outcome in the Sint Maarten vs Belize match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Sint Maarten vs Belize match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected developments related to the match itself could cause the price to shift. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in other related matches or significant changes in weather conditions (if applicable) could also impact trader behavior and move the market. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the event could also cause volatility.