TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sint Maarten vs. Belize
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sint Maarten vs Belize?

Volume:
$153,076

Belize

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 11:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belize

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69,815
N/A
N/A
$38,167
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Belize

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sint Maarten

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,649
N/A
N/A
$31,059
Settled
No
polymarket

Sint Maarten

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,003
N/A
N/A
$22,726
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sint Maarten vs. Belize)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Sint Maarten and Belize, scheduled for September 26, 2026, as part of the Concacaf Nations League. Markets exist for Sint Maarten winning, Belize winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi does not define this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the resolution outcome is less defined than on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios. Relies on the game being played as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Sint Maarten and Belize.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Sint Maarten vs Belize professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026: a win for Sint Maarten, a win for Belize, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts in determining the result.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Sint Maarten vs. Belize match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong expectation for a draw, with Polymarket showing a chance of approximately 96%. Total volume across both platforms is $153,076, with $146,933 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the match’s result and profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to give a comprehensive overview of the market's sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets are driven by user demand. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, this market benefits from a broader range of participants and real-time adjustments based on information flow. It's important to compare both to gain a well-rounded view.

Prices for the Sint Maarten vs. Belize match may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and order matching on each platform can contribute to price variations. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a draw at 96%, while Kalshi leans toward a draw. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the impact of platform-specific characteristics on price formation.