TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 2,243,359
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 2,243,359 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jul 4, 2:32 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks worldwide streaming performance for the musical project SINGULAR ACT II during the week of June 26 - July 02. Resolution depends on whether total streams exceed a specified threshold, with data sourced from Luminate Data and published within approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
If SINGULAR ACT II has above 2,243,359 Worldwide Streams during the June 26 - July 02, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than expert opinion alone. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio statements, production timelines, and industry contacts, this market aggregates the collective bets of traders who profit only if their forecast proves correct. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in more optimism or skepticism than the expert consensus, offering a complementary signal for assessing streaming likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trades and pending orders, moving in real time as new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in the event occurring, while lower prices suggest skepticism about whether the streams will launch as anticipated.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the streams actually go live during the relevant timeframe, assessed against reliable entertainment news sources and official announcements. Once the resolution date passes and the outcome is clear, all positions settle according to the final result.
Key catalysts include official announcements from the production team or streaming platform confirming or delaying the launch, industry news about production status, and social media updates from cast or creators. Schedule changes, technical delays, or competing entertainment events could also shift trader expectations. As the resolution date approaches, any credible reporting about whether the streams are actually live will trigger sharp repricing, with confirmed launches driving prices higher and cancellations or postponements pushing them lower.
