TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether SINGULAR ACT I receives above a specified threshold of worldwide streams during the July 10-16 tracking week. Stream data is compiled by Luminate Data, LLC and published within approximately 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
If SINGULAR ACT I has above 1,054,433 Worldwide Streams during the July 10 - July 16, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trading by informed participants and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or media speculation. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio announcements, production timelines, or industry rumors, this market aggregates the collective judgment of traders with financial skin in the game. Comparing the current odds here to published expert commentary can reveal where the crowd's confidence differs from conventional wisdom, offering a useful cross-check for your own assessment of the streaming release timing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing limit and market orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the spread between the highest bid and lowest ask at any moment. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit your position at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed based on verifiable public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the streaming release occurs within the specified timeframe as defined by the market terms. Once the event window closes and credible sources confirm the result, the market settles and traders receive payouts according to their positions.
Key catalysts include official studio announcements about release dates, production updates, platform partnerships, or delays. Social media momentum, trailer drops, and entertainment news coverage can shift trader sentiment rapidly. Competitive releases or scheduling conflicts may also influence odds. Additionally, any insider reporting or credible leaks about timing could trigger sharp price movements as traders reassess their positions ahead of the resolution date.