TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$74,316,137

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,155,356,965

338,521

Markets across

33,297

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,228

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Time left: 01d:13h:10m

Will the silver close price be above 50.99 USD/t.oz on August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

99%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

The event assesses whether the price of silver reaches specific thresholds at a precise moment, reflecting potential volatility or stability in commodity markets during that timeframe.

Kalshi

The event determines if the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for silver at 5:00 PM EDT on August 28, 2026, exceeds various thresholds, with each threshold defining a separate market outcome. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and the closing price represents the final trade price within the minute preceding the specified timestamp. If data for the exact time is unavailable, the most recent published price is used for resolution. The structure allows multiple parallel markets to evaluate different price levels, each resolving independently based on the same underlying price data.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the silver price market. It shows how traders on this single venue are positioning themselves ahead of the key date. The current view reflects a market with total volume of $13,191 and recent 24-hour volume of $707, offering insight into participant sentiment on Kalshi.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market currently implies a 99.0% probability for the top outcome, which may diverge from consensus views. While analysts offer detailed reports, this market aggregates real-time trader sentiment, often reacting faster to news or shifts in supply-demand dynamics. The difference between these odds and expert predictions can highlight where market participants see value or risk differently.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through a continuous order book where bids and asks determine the current implied probability. The top outcome is priced at around 99.0%, reflecting collective expectations for where silver will trade at the specified time. Volume of $13,191 supports this pricing structure, showing liquidity and interest on Kalshi alone.

Key signals include economic data releases, shifts in industrial demand, geopolitical tensions affecting mining output, and Federal Reserve policy updates. Any surprise announcement on silver reserves, trade agreements, or energy prices could also sway this market. Traders will monitor these developments closely as they could dramatically alter price expectations before Aug 28, 2026.