TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.8b
24H VOL:
$74,316,137
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,155,356,965
338,521
Markets across
33,297
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,228
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above $50.99
- Kalshi
Above $50.99 - Kalshi
100%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Aug 26
Aug 27
Vol.
$187.0
·
Resolves Aug 28, 2026
Time left: 01d:13h:10m
$
The event assesses whether the price of silver reaches specific thresholds at a precise moment, reflecting potential volatility or stability in commodity markets during that timeframe.
The event determines if the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for silver at 5:00 PM EDT on August 28, 2026, exceeds various thresholds, with each threshold defining a separate market outcome. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and the closing price represents the final trade price within the minute preceding the specified timestamp. If data for the exact time is unavailable, the most recent published price is used for resolution. The structure allows multiple parallel markets to evaluate different price levels, each resolving independently based on the same underlying price data.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market currently implies a 99.0% probability for the top outcome, which may diverge from consensus views. While analysts offer detailed reports, this market aggregates real-time trader sentiment, often reacting faster to news or shifts in supply-demand dynamics. The difference between these odds and expert predictions can highlight where market participants see value or risk differently.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through a continuous order book where bids and asks determine the current implied probability. The top outcome is priced at around 99.0%, reflecting collective expectations for where silver will trade at the specified time. Volume of $13,191 supports this pricing structure, showing liquidity and interest on Kalshi alone.
Key signals include economic data releases, shifts in industrial demand, geopolitical tensions affecting mining output, and Federal Reserve policy updates. Any surprise announcement on silver reserves, trade agreements, or energy prices could also sway this market. Traders will monitor these developments closely as they could dramatically alter price expectations before Aug 28, 2026.