TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 5:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer qualifier between Sierra Leone and Zimbabwe. The match is part of the African Cup of Nations (AFCON) qualifying process, reflecting the competitive efforts of both nations to secure a position in the main tournament. The result will be determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026: a win for Sierra Leone, a win for Zimbabwe, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregate wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there's an edge, and may highlight potential value for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the likelihood of each outcome in the Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe match.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Sierra Leone or Zimbabwe could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media, might also contribute to price movements in this market.