TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Siena Saints and Merrimack College Warriors scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Merrimack. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 and -3.5), and over/under totals (ranging from 113.5 to 146.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Over/Under threshold interpretation differs between platforms. Kalshi uses strict inequality (>X.5), while Polymarket applies a +0.5 adjustment to the stated line for resolution purposes. Moneyline and spread markets are consistent.Hero Tip:
When comparing Kalshi and Polymarket over/under odds on the same nominal line, recognize they resolve identically in practice but are stated differently. For example, Kalshi O/U 125.5 (resolves Over at 126+) matches Polymarket O/U 125.5 (resolves Over at 126+). Always cross-check the exact resolution threshold in the market description, not just the line number.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Over/Under markets use strict inequality: if combined score > X.5, market resolves Yes. Example: O/U 125.5 resolves Yes if total is 126 or more. Thirteen separate over/under lines offered (113.5 through 146.5).Polymarket:
Over/Under markets apply +0.5 adjustment: O/U X.5 resolves Over if combined score >= (X.5 + 0.5) = X + 1. Example: O/U 127.5 resolves Over if total is 128 or more. Six over/under lines offered (124.5 through 129.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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