TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Ali Truwit
- Kalshi
Ali Truwit - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 1, 2026
Closed: Jun 1, 3:41 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Alix Earle will appear as a runway model at the Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Show during Swim Week 2026 in Miami at the W South Beach. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 81.0%. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from the SI Swimsuit Runway Show during the scheduled Swim Week 2026 event in June. Watch for official model announcements and lineup confirmations as the June 2026 event date approaches.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional analyst forecasts or media speculation about the SI Swimsuit Runway Show lineup. While analysts may rely on insider reports or historical patterns, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of traders with financial stakes in accuracy. The market has accumulated $38,201 in total trading volume, suggesting active price discovery. Comparing market odds to published expert predictions or entertainment industry forecasts can reveal where traders diverge from conventional wisdom about model participation.
On Kalshi, individual model outcomes for the SI Swimsuit Runway Show are priced as binary contracts reflecting the probability each athlete will appear as a runway model. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently tracked is whether Sophie Cunningham will be a runway model, with pricing reflecting trader conviction around her participation. Prices move continuously as traders buy and sell contracts, with each contract representing a yes or no position. The current market activity and pricing structure allow traders to express granular views on specific model lineups ahead of the June 2026 event in Miami.
The SI Swimsuit Runway Show Miami: Runway Models market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, coinciding with the conclusion of the runway show event at the W South Beach in Miami during Swim Week 2026. Resolution is determined by whether each predicted model actually appears on the runway during the official SI Swimsuit show. Traders should monitor official event announcements, model confirmations, and lineup releases as the date approaches to assess how their positions may be affected by final roster decisions.
Key catalysts for price movement include official model lineup announcements from SI Swimsuit or event organizers, social media confirmations from athletes about their participation, injuries or scheduling conflicts affecting model availability, and media coverage of Swim Week 2026 preparations. Surprise inclusions or withdrawals of high-profile athletes can trigger sharp odds swings. Additionally, early runway rehearsals, backstage updates, or last-minute roster changes closer to June 2026 will influence trader positioning. Fashion industry news and athlete endorsement announcements may also signal participation likelihood.
