TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 12:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player, Sho Shimabukuro or Arthur Rinderknech, will claim victory in the first set of their 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 match. The outcome hinges solely on the performance of the athletes during the initial set of play. Any changes to the match schedule or unforeseen interruptions will be managed according to specific guidelines to ensure fair resolution.
The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the designated professional tennis match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 between Sho Shimabukuro and Arthur Rinderknech. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any ball is played, the market will settle at a fair price. Postponements or delays will keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week window for closure. In cases of retirement during the match, markets that can be definitively settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. The Exchange disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first set is determined by official match results, and this market will close immediately after the set concludes. Traders should monitor live score updates, as the market settles based on the confirmed match record without additional interpretation or external data sources.
Key signals include player form, injury updates, and weather conditions affecting play. Any shift in betting sentiment or pre-match analysis could also influence this market. As the match approaches, early set dynamics—such as breaks of serve or momentum swings—may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders should watch for official lineups, warm-up results, and any last-minute changes that could impact the first set’s outcome.