TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SHL: Leksands IF vs. HV 71
Volume:
$8,247
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) match between Leksands IF and HV 71 scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 9:15 AM EST. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary structure resolves Yes for both possible outcomes (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a proper categorical resolution tied to the winning team.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version until clarification. The market appears to have a critical data entry error—a proper binary should resolve Yes for one team and No for the other, or it should be categorical like Polymarket. Polymarket's structure is the correct model for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (Leksands IF or HV 71). Includes overtime and shootout results; shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure that resolves Yes if HV71 wins AND Yes if Leksands IF wins—a logical impossibility. No explicit No condition or tie-breaking rule provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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