This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) match between Färjestad and Rögle BK scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Rögle win and Färjestad win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating no meaningful prediction mechanism.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as stated cannot differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be used for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Resolution logic states: If Rögle wins, resolve Yes. If Färjestad wins, resolve Yes. This means all possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. Key quote: 'If Rogle BK wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Färjestad wins...then the market resolves to Yes'.
Polymarket: Resolution logic clearly maps outcomes: Färjestad win resolves to 'Färjestad', Rögle win resolves to 'Rögle'. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50. Overtime and shootout scoring explicitly defined. Key quote: 'If Faerjestad win, the market will resolve to Faerjestad. If Roegle win, the market will resolve to Roegle.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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