Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both define resolution identically: match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J-League statistics (jleague.jp); fallback to credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match result is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Shimizu S-Pulse win, V-Varen Nagasaki win, or draw
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves Yes and both team-win markets resolve No
Resolution source is official J-League governing body statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting is acceptable
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed
Cancellation without makeup: Draw market resolves Yes; Shimizu win market resolves No; V-Varen win market resolves No
Extra time or penalties: Not considered; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time result determines resolution
Delayed official statistics: If J-League does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official statistics are published or consensus reporting is established, typically within 2 hours of match end
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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